FTA 56th Annual
Revenue Estimation & Tax Research Conference
Preliminary Program

September 23 - 26, 2001 Minneapolis Airport Marriott Minneapolis, MN

 

Meeting Annoucement

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Preliminary Program

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Registration Form

Topic Suggestion Form

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Hotel Information

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Saturday, September 22nd

Research Roundtable -- 1:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. (Belfast/Dublin -- Jr. Ballroom)
(government participants only)

 

Sunday, September 23rd


Research Roundtable (continued) -- 9:00 a.m. - 12:00 noon (Belfast/Dublin -- Jr. Ballroom)
(government participants only)

Registration -- 1:00 p.m. - 8:00 p.m. (Coat Room)

Opening Reception -- 6:00 p.m. - 8:00 p.m. (Courtyard or Belfast/Dublin)

 

Monday, September 24th

General Session -- 8:30 a.m. - 12:00 noon (Grand Ballroom--Salons A, B, &C)
Presiding: Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of Economic Analysis and Chair of FTA Research Section

Welcome to Minnesota
Matthew G. Smith, Commissioner, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue

Macro Forecast
Cynthia Latta, DRI-WEFA

Regional Forecast
Charles de Seve, American Economics Group

Streamlined Sales Tax Project
Diane Hardt
, Wisconsin Dept. of Revenue

Electric Utility Restructuring: What's Happening and What are the Issues?
Mike Bull, Minnesota House Research Department

Lunch -- 12:00 noon - 1:30 p.m. (Belfast/Dublin--Jr. Ballroom)
Speaker: The Minnesota Tax Reform Project
Governor Jesse Ventura, Governor, State of Minnesota


Breakout Sessions --1:30 p.m. - 3:15 p.m.

Economic Outlook by Sector (Salon D)
Moderator: Tom Potiowsky

Automobile Outlook, Mark Haas, Michigan Dept. of Treasury
Outlook for Retail Sector, Charles de Seve, American Economics Group
Outlook for the Housing Sector, Cynthia Latta, DRI-WEFA

Issues in Tax Reform (Salon C)
Moderator: Mark Muchow
Panel:
Michael Kaufmann ,Oklahoma Tax Commission
Dick Gebhart, Minnesota Department of Revenue
Phil Blatsos, New Hampshire Department of Revenue Administration
Mark Muchow, West Virginia Dept. of Tax & Revenue

Break -- 3:15 p.m. - 3:30 p.m.

Regional Breakout Sessions -- 3:30 p.m. - 5:30 p.m.
Northeast (Salon A)
Southeast (Salon C)
Midwest (Salon B)
West
(Salon D)

Tuesday, September 25th


Concurrent Breakout Session -- 8:00 a.m. - 9:30 a.m.

Estimating the Impact of the Streamlined Sales Tax System (Salon D)
Moderator: Christian Weiss

The Fiscal Effect on Wisconsin of Adopting the Proposed Definitions of the Streamlined Sales Tax Agreement
Blair Kruger, Wisconsin Dept. of Revenue

Streamlining One Industry: The Communications Industry in Florida
Christian Weiss, Florida Dept. of Revenue

The FY 2002 Personal Income Tax Forecast: Four Views on Where We Are, Where We've Been, and Where We are Headed (Salon C)
Moderator: Dick Kaluzny

Panel:
Tom Stinson, Minnesota Dept. of Finance
Qiang Xu, New York State Office of Management and Budget
John Layman, Virginia Dept. of Taxation

 

Break -- 9:30 a.m. - 9:45 a.m.

Working Sessions -- 9:45 a.m. - 10:45 a.m. (Government Participants Only)

  • Dynamic Estimation & Modeling (Salon A)
  • Data Base/Blurring Techniques (Salon C)
  • Tax Expenditure Reporting/Estimation Techniques (Salon D)
  • Revenue Forecasting (Salon B)
  • Legislative Issues (Oxford)
  • Utility Deregulation Issues (Bristol)
  • Issues in Local Taxation (Cambridge)
  • Issues in Property Taxation (Calhoun)

(Note, the Working sessions are informal groups with no leader. It is intended to permit open discussion among participants interested in specialized topics. Topics organized depend on the number of participants registering for the groups. Sessions and Room assignments are subject to change.)

Break -- 10:45 a.m. - 11:00 a.m.

Concurrent Sessions -- 11:00 a.m. - 12:30 p.m.

Issues with Taxing Deregulated Industries (Salon C)
Moderator: Cora Parker

A Tax System that Makes Sense for Minnesota: Utility Tax Reform
Jenny Engh, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue

Electricity Generation Customer Choice and Competition
Brenda Stoner, Pennsylvania Dept. of Revenue


Single Sales Factor (Salon D)
Moderator: Tom Marks
Panel:
Michael Mazreov, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
C. Daniel Hassell, Pennsylvania Dept. of Revenue
David Roose, Maryland Comptroller of the Treasury
Pam Walgren, Wisconsin Dept. of Revenue


Forecasting for an Economic Downturn (Salon B)
Moderator: Reece Womack

Using State-Calibrated Economic Indicators to Predict Turning Points in State Revenues--The Case of the Kentucky Leading Indicators and the Current Economic Slowdown
Greg Harkenrider, Kentucky Office of State Budget Director

Hunting for Leading Indicators: The Iowa Experience
Michael Lipsman, Iowa Dept. of Revenue and Finance

A Survey on the Use of Multivariate Time series Analysis in State Revenue Forecasting
Reece Womack, Oklahoma Tax Commission

Lunch -- 12:30 p.m. - 2:00 p.m. (On your own)

Concurrent Sessions -- 2:00 p.m. - 3:30 p.m.

Data Base Techniques (Salon C)
Moderator: David Boughtwood

Corporate Tax Simulations--Modeling and Distributional Analysis
William Witzleben, New York Dept. of Taxation and Finance

Capital Gains Data from the Wisconsin Tax Model
Yeang-Eng Braun, Wisconsin Dept. of Revenue


Estate Tax Forecasting Issues (Salon D)
Moderator: TBD

Panel:
David Zin, Michigan Dept. of Treasury
Tom Williams, Utah State Tax Commission
Ronald Mucha, Ohio Dept. of Taxation
Representative from Wisconsin Dept. of Revenue

 

Buses Depart for Evening Activities 4:00 p.m. - 4:15 p.m. (Hotel Lobby)

 

Wednesday, September 26th


Business Meeting -- Future of the Research Section 9:00 a.m. - 10:00 a.m. (Belfast/Dublin)
Presiding: Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of Economic Analysis and Chair of FTA Research Section

Break 10:00 a.m. - 10:15 a.m.

General Session 10:15 a.m. - 12:00 noon (Grand Ballroom--Salons A, B, &C)
Presiding: Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of Economic Analysis and Chair of FTA Research Section

The View from Washington
Harley Duncan, FTA

Census Bureau Efforts to Improve E-Commerce Data
Dr. John Gates, U.S. Bureau of the Census

Update on Research Roundtable Activities
TBD, Roundtable Chair and New York City Dept. Of Finance

Senior Delegates Lunch 12:00 noon - 1:30 p.m. (Calhoun)