Preliminary Program

Updated - October 14, 2011. Program subject to change, please check back for updates. Please send any comments or suggestions to Ron Alt.

Saturday, October 15, 2011
2:30 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.	Research Roundtable [Executive agency personnel only]
Sunday, October 16, 2011
9:00 a.m. - 12:00 noon	Research Roundtable (continued) [Executive agency personnel only]
3:00 p.m. – 7:00 p.m.	Conference Registration (second floor)
6:30 p.m. – 8:00 p.m.	Opening Reception
Monday, October 17, 2011
8:30 a.m. – 12:00 noon	General Session
	Presiding: Fitzroy Lee, District of Columbia and Chair FTA Research Section Welcome to Charleston Charles O. Lorensen, Cabinet Secretary, West Virginia Dept. or Revenue General Macro Economic Outlook Nigel Gault, IHS Global Insight Regional Economic Outlook Steven Cochrane, Moody’s Analytics State Fiscal Outlook Scott Pattison, National Association of State Budget Officers Update on Federal Legislation Gale Garriott, Federation of Tax Administrators
12:00 Noon - 1:45 p.m.	Luncheon Speaker: Sales Taxes and Electronic Commerce: Are There Employment Impacts? Donald Bruce, University of Tennessee
1:45 p.m. - 3:45 p.m.	Concurrent Breakout Sessions
	Session I: Sectorial Outlook - moderator, Fitzroy Lee -Retail Outlook, Michael Niemira, ICSC -Automobile Outlook, Kim Hill, Center for Automotive Research -Housing Outlook, Douglas Duncan, Fannie Mae -Employment Outlook, Robert Valletta, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Session II: Enforcement Revenues - moderator, TBD An Assessment of the North Carolina Tax Amnesty of 1989 William Spencer, North Carolina Dept. of Revenue CBT Enforcement Collection Trends Through Amnesty Cycles In New Jersey: A Comparison With Selected Neighboring States Ranjana Madhusudhan and Roger Cohen, New Jersey Dept. of the Treasury
4:00 p.m. – 5:30 p.m.	Regional Breakout Sessions -Northeastern Region -Southeastern Region -Midwestern Region -Western Region
Tuesday, October 18, 2011
8:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.	General Session
	Joint FTA/NTA Session - Sensitivity of Wealthy/Businesses to State Tax Differences and Implications for Long-term State and Local Fiscal Sustainability Moderator - Ranjana Madhusudhan Tax Rates and the Location Decision of the Wealthy Richard Prisinzano, U.S. Department of Treasury State Tax Competition Daniel Wilson, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Long-term Fiscal Sustainability of State and Local Governments Bo Zhao and David Coyne, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Discussant: Jim Landers, Indiana Legislative Services Agency *Organized by Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury
10:45 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.	Concurrent Breakout Sessions
	Session I: Tax Credit Reporting - moderator, Rod Hoheisel Methodology in Tax Credit Evaluation Study Zhong Jin, Iowa Dept. or Revenue Benefits of Tracking West Virginia Business Tax Credits Over 25 Years Mark Muchow, West Virginia Dept. of Revenue Income Tax Credits - Impact on Revenues Georganna Meyer, Arizona Dept. of Revenue Session II: Revenue Forecasting, Why We Missed Our Targets and How to Fix It? - moderator, Romina Soria Using Cointegrating Relationships to Capture the Cyclical and Long-run Dynamics of Revenue Forecasts: A Simple Example from Massachusetts Alan Clayton-Matthews, Northeastern University Revenue Recap: Comparing State Sales and Withheld Receipts to Retail Sales and Employment Statistics Philippa Dunne, Liscio Report Revenue Forecast Errors and Business Cycles: The Case of Wisconsin Romina Soria, Wisconsin Dept. Revenue
12:30 p.m. – 2:00 p.m.	Lunch (on your own)
2:00 p.m. – 3:45 p.m.	Concurrent Breakout Sessions
	Session I: Corporate Income Tax Combined Reporting - moderator, TBD FTA Award Winner Maryland Corporate Information Reporting and Combined Reporting Study, by the Bureau of Revenue Estimates Andrew Schaufele, Maryland Comptroller Discussion - all participants. [states that have enacted or have considered combined reporting legislation are asked to be prepared to discuss how they estimated the revenue impact and possible problems they encountered]
6:00 p.m. – 9:00 p.m.	Evening Banquet
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
9:00 a.m. – 12:00 noon	General Session
	Presiding: Fitzroy Lee, District of Columbia and Chair FTA Research Section FTA Update Ron Alt, Federation of Tax Administrators States’ Revenue Estimating – Cracks in the Crystal Ball Bob Ward, Rockefeller Institute of Government representative Taxation and Interstate Competition in Midwest Casinos Jim Landers, Indiana Legislative Services Agency Update on Research Roundtable Activities Invitation to Rhode Island in 2012