2010 FTA Revenue Estimation & Tax Research Conference

September 19-22, 2010 •Sun Valley Conference Center • Ketchum, ID 83353
 


Preliminary Program

Presentations are avilable

Final
 

Saturday, September 18, 2010
1:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.
Research Roundtable
[Executive agency personnel only]

Sunday, September 19, 2010

9:00 a.m. - 12:00 noon Research Roundtable (continued)
[Executive agency personnel only]
3:00 p.m. – 7:00 p.m. Conference Registration
 
6:30 p.m. – 8:00 p.m. Opening Reception
 
Monday, September 20, 2010
8:30 a.m. – 12:00 noon General Session
 
 

Presiding: Michael Allen, Maine Revenue Services and Chair FTA Research Section

Welcome

General Macro Economic Outlook
Sara Johnson, IHS Global Insight

Regional Economic Outlook
Marisa Di Natale , Moody's Economy.com

Pew's States Revenue Estimation Project
Kil Huh, Pew Center on the States

Estimating State Retail Sales
Keith Phillips, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank
and Alan Clayton-Matthews, Northeastern University

 

12:00 Noon - 1:45 p.m. Luncheon
 
Speaker:
    A World of Trouble: Corporate Taxes and the Growing Fiscal Crisis
    Martin Sullivan, Tax Analysts
 
1:45 p.m. - 3:30 p.m. Concurrent Breakout Sessions
 
 

Session I

Sectorial Outlook - moderator, Michael Allen
-Retail Outlook, Michael Niemira, ICSC
-Automobile Outlook, Deb Menk, Center for Automotive Research
-Housing Outlook, Joe Elling, Weyerhaeuser

Session II

State and Local Taxes on Business: Time for Major Changes? - moderator, Elliot Dubin

Who Really Bears the Burden of a State Business Tax Increase
 Robert Cline, Ernst & Young

State Value Added Tax: Governors 21st Century Tax Reform Commission
Laura Kalambkidis, University of Minnesota

Benefits Principles of Business Taxation
 Rick Mattoon, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Discussants, Elliot Dubin and Paul Wilson
 

3:45 p.m. – 5:30 p.m. Regional Breakout Sessions
  -Northeastern Region
  -Southeastern Region
  -Midwestern Region
  - Western Region
  
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
8:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. General Session
 
 

Joint FTA/NTA Session -Flight of the Wealthy (Impact of high marginal tax rates) and Exploring the Revenue Recovery Path*
 
Moderator - Fitzroy Lee

State PIT and Individual Mobility
  Donald Bruce, University of Tennessee

State Income Tax Preferences for Seniors Magnify the Revenue Impact of Aging?
 Paul Wilson, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue

Tax Revenue Synchronization with the Business Cycle: When Will State Tax Revenues Recover from the Great Recession?
 Ray Nelson, Brigham Young University

Revenue Performance Over the Business Cycle: Wrap Up and Comments on Future Outlook
 Rick Mattoon, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Discussant, Karen Schlain

*Session Organized by Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury
 

10:45 a.m. – 12:30 p.m. Concurrent Breakout Sessions
 
 

Session I

Sales Tax Forecasting: What is Happening with Sales Taxes - Moderator, Michael Allen

Panel: Matthew Murray, University of Tennessee
          Fiona Sigalla, Colorado Legislative Council
          Romina Soria, Wisconsin Dept. of Revenue

Session II

Tax Reform Commissions - moderator, Sara Teachout

Panel: Michael Costa, Vermont Tax Structure Commission
          Barry Boardman, North Carolina General Assembly
          Paul Dion, Rhode Island Dept. of Revenue

 

12:30 p.m. – 2:00 p.m. Lunch (on your own)
 
2:00 p.m. – 3:45 p.m. Afternoon Session
 
 

State Retail Sales Project
 
This session will be an open discussion on the state retail sales project, presented in the Monday Morning General Session. Participants are encouraged to talk about methodolgy, data sources and the process to move ths project forward. All participants are welcome.

 

6:00 p.m. – 9:00 p.m. Evening Banquet
 
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
 
9:00 a.m. – 12:00 noon General Session
 
 

Presiding: Michael Allen, Maine Revenue Services and Chair FTA Research Section

Who Pays? A Distributional Analysis of State Tax Systems
Matthew Gardner, Institute on Taxation & Economic Policy

Update on Census Revenue Surveys
Christopher Pece, U.S. Bureau of the Census

Update on Research Roundtable Activities

Invitation to West Virginia in 2011