Preliminary Program

Updated September 3
Saturday, September 12, 2009
1:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.	Research Roundtable [Executive agency personnel only]
Sunday, September 13, 2009
9:00 a.m. - 12:00 noon	Research Roundtable (continued)
3:00 p.m. – 7:00 p.m.	Conference Registration
6:30 p.m. – 8:00 p.m.	Opening Reception
Monday, September 14, 2009
8:30 a.m. – 12:00 noon	General Session
	Presiding: Michael Ferguson, Idaho Dept. of Financial Mangement and Chair FTA Research Section Welcome Mark Schuling, Director of the Iowa Dept. of Revenue General Macro Economic Outlook Mark Zandi, Moody's Economy.com Regional Economic Outlook James Diffley, IHS Global Insights Finally, An Accurate Real-time Series: Forecasting With State Tax Receipts Philippa Dunne, Liscio Report Federal Revenue Outlook Mark Booth, CBO
12:00 Noon - 1:30 p.m.	Luncheon Thinking About a Federal VAT: Considerations for the States Harley Duncan, KPMG Peat Marwick
1:30 p.m. - 3:15 p.m.	Concurrent Breakout Sessions
	Session I Sectorial Outlook - moderator, Michael Ferguson -Retail Outlook, Michael Niemira, ICSC -Automobile Outlook, Deb Menk, Center for Automotive Research -Housing Outlook, Economist, Eugenio Aleman, Wells Fargo Session II Compliance Research - moderator, Michael Lipsman Creating a Data-Driven Audit Division: New York City’s Experience Joy Chen, New York City Department of Finance State Reverse File Match Initiative (SRFMI) Kevin Mullen, IRS Iowa’s Tax Gap and Statistical Analysis Programs: Past Experiences and Future Directions Mike Lipsman, Iowa Dept. of Revenue
3:30 p.m. – 5:30 p.m.	Regional Breakout Sessions -Northeastern Region -Southeastern Region -Midwestern Region - Western Region
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
8:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m.	General Session
	Joint FTA/NTA Session - Tax Expenditure Analysis* Moderator - Fitzroy Lee Promoting State Budget Accountability Through Tax Expenditure Reporting Nicholas Johnson, CBPP The Critical Link between Tax Policy and Tax Expenditure: The Importance of Unresolved Issues John Mikesell, Indiana University Tax Expenditures and the Subsidization of Homeownership Andrew Reschovsky, University of Wisconsin-Madison Tax Expenditure Implications of Changes in State Corporate Income Tax Apportionment Formulas Elliott Dubin, MTC and Jim Landers, Indiana Legislative Services Agency Discussant, Laura Wheeler, Georgia State University *Session Organized by Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury
10:45 a.m. – 12:15 p.m.	Concurrent Breakout Sessions
	Session I Joint FTA/NTA Session - Selected State Experiences in Tax Expenditure Analysis: Issues & Options- Moderator, Paul Wilson Including Estimates of the Incidence of Tax Expenditures: Learning from the Texas Experience Sergio Madrigal, Texas Legislative Budget Bureau and Curtis Toews, Texas Comptroller's Office Including Assessments of the Effectiveness of Tax Expenditures: Learning from Selected State Experiences Jay Chamberlain, California Franchise Board Joel Michael, Minnesota House Research Mike Lipsman and Zhong Jin, Iowa Dept. of Revenue Making Tax Expenditure Studies More Useful to Policymakers: A Legislative Perspective Rep. Ann Lenczewski, Minnesota House Tax Committee Chair Discussant: Nick Johnson, CBPP Session Organized by Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Dept. of Treasury Session II Developing State Coincidence/Leading Indicators - moderator, Michael Ferguson Speakers Michael Ferguson, Idaho Dept. of Financial Mangement Allan Clayton-Matthews, University of Massachusetts Boston Keith Philips, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank
12:15 p.m. – 1:45 p.m.	Lunch (on your own)
1:45 p.m. – 3:15 p.m.	Concurrent Breakout Sessions
	Session I Micro-Simulation Modeling - moderator, Amy Harris Who Will Pay What? Modeling the Distribution of costs of Climate Change Policies Kevin Perese, CBO Using Detailed IRS Data on 'Net Misreported Income' to Estimate Minnesota's Income Tax Gap George Temple and Kelly Kenley, Minnesota Dept. of Revenue Modeling Tax Reform in Maine Michael Allen and David Gunter, Maine Revenue Services
6:00 p.m. – 9:00 p.m.	Evening Banquet
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
9:00 a.m. – 12:00 noon	General Session
	Presiding: Michael Ferguson, Idaho Dept. of Financial Mangement and Chair FTA Research Section Update on Census Revenue Reports Christopher Pece, U.S. Census Bureau State Tax Revenue Performance over the Business Cycle Richard Mattoon, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago The Effect of the Smoke Free Illinois Act on Riverboat Casino Adjusted Gross Receipts Tax in Illinois, a Quasi Experimental Approach for Practitioners Hans Zigmund, Illinois Dept. of Revenue Update on Research Roundtable Activities Invitation to Idaho in 2010