| Monday - September 18
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| 8:30 a.m. - 12:00 noon |
General Session (Crystal
Ballroom ) |
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General Economic Outlook
Nigel Gault, Global Insight |
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Regional Economic
Outlook
Mark McMullen, Moody's Economy.com
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Fiscal Outlook of the
States - An Update
Ron Snell, National Conference
of State Legislatures |
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Streamlined Sales Tax
Project
Bruce Johnson, Utah State Tax
Commission |
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| 12:00 noon - 1:45 p.m. |
Lunch (Crystal
Ballroom)
Agents
of Impatience
speaker: Gary Cornia, Brigham
Young University
|
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| 1:45 p.m. - 3:30 p.m. |
Concurrent Breakout Sessions
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Session I: Sectorial Economic Outlook
(Mayfair)
Moderator: Susan Mesner |
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Housing Outlook,
Joe Elling, Weyerhaeuser
Automotive Outlook,
Kim Hill, Center for Automotive Research
Outlook for the
Technology Sector, Mike Raimondi, Global
Insight (invited)
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Session II: Managing a Research Section
(Kent)
Moderator: Natalie Davila |
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How to Survive
in a Bureaucracy, Julia Friedman, District
of Columbia Office of Revenue Analysis
Communications Issues
in an Economic Research Unit, Rachel
Moskowitz, New Mexico Taxation & Revenue
Department
|
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|
| Tuesday,
September 19
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| 8:30 a.m. - 10:15 a.m. |
Concurrent Breakout Sessions
|
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Session I: Issues in Revenue Forecasting
(Mayfair)
Moderator: Michael Allen |
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Another April
Surprise In California—Causes and Implications,
Brad Williams, California Legislative Analysis
Office
Collaborating
Efforts in Revenue Forecasting, Mark
McMullen, Moody’s Economy.com and Natalie
Davila, Illinois Department of Revenue
Forecasting Value
Added, Robert Cox, Kentucky Office for
Economic Analysis
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Session II: Issues in Corporate Tax Reform
(Kent)
Moderator: Hector Vielma |
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Fiscal Impacts
of Implementing Entity Level Taxation for
Pass-Through Entities -- Lessons learned
in Kentucky, Greg Harkenrider, Kentucky
Office of the State Budget Director
That Darn CAT - Ohio's
Tax Reform One year Later, Fred Church,
Ohio Department of Taxation
New Jersey's CBT Reform:
Act II, Richard Kaluzny and Ranjana
Madhusudhan, New Jersey Department of Treasury
|
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|
| 10:30 a.m. - 12:15 p.m. |
Concurrent Breakout Sessions
|
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|
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Session I: Forecasting Economic Turning
Points (Mayfair)
Moderator: Michael Kennedy |
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Leading Indicators of Cyclical State Revenues:
Beyond the Regional Economic Drivers,
John Shelnutt, Arkansas Department of Finance
Administration
State-Specific
Economic Indicators, Greg Harkenrider,
Kentucky Office of the State Budget Director
Assessing Relative
Component Contributions to Change in the
Oregon
Index of Leading Indicators, Michael
Kennedy, Oregon Office of Economic Analysis
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Session II: Issues with the Streamlined
Sales Tax Project (Cambridge/Oxford)
Moderator: Lorrie Brown |
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Panel: Christian Weiss, Florida Department
of Revenue
Greg
Potegal, Washington Department of Revenue
Lorrie
Brown, Washington Department of Revenue
Bruce
Johnson, Utah State Tax Commission
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Session III: Local Option Income Taxes
(Kent)
Moderator: Arthur Friedson |
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Local Income
Tax for School Finance In New York State:
A Primer, Arthur Friedson, New York
State Department of Taxation & Finance
[Paper]
Local School Income
Taxes in Ohio [Paper], Michael Sobul,
Ohio Department of Taxation
The Estimated First-Year
Impact on Property Taxes of LD 1, Michael
Allen, Maine Revenue Services
Michigan's Experience
with School Finance Reform, Jeff Guilfoyle,
Michigan Department of Treasury
School Aid Funding from State Taxes in New Jersey,
Ranjana Madhusudhan, New Jersey Division
of Taxation
|
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|
| 12:15 p.m. - 1:45 p.m. |
Lunch (on your own) |
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| 1:45 p.m - 3:30 p.m. |
Concurrent Breakout Sessions
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|
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Session I: Issues with Cigarette Excise
Taxation (Mayfair)
Moderator: Susan Mesner |
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NYS/NYC Smoking
Bans and the Effect on Bar/Restaurant Sales,
Bill Raleigh, New York State Department
of Taxation & Finance
The Effect of Sub-State
Cigarette Tax Changes, Hans Zigmund,
Illinois Department of Revenue
Estimating the Weighted
Average Retail Price of Cigarettes,
Randy Sanford, Minnesota Department of Revenue
How Border
Sales Can Alter the Yield of a Cigarette
Tax: Kentucky's Cigarette Surtax, Greg
Harkenrider, Kentucky Office of the State
Budget Director |
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Session II: Issues with Data Base Development
& Data Mining (Kent)
Moderator: Patrice Cohen |
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Using SAS Views
to Simplify Data Maintenance and Increase
Data Integrity, Patrice Cohen, New York
State Department of Taxation & Finance
A Comparison
of Electronic & Paper Tax Return Filers,
Amy Harris & Jay Munson, Iowa Department
of Revenue
[Paper]
A Warehouse with Many
Floors and Many Doors: Data Warehousing
and Mining at the Iowa Dept. of Revenue,
Michael Lipsman, Iowa Department of Revenue
[Paper]
Data Mining, Data Integrity
-- Florida Experience, Yen Chen, Florida
Departmentt of Revenue
The Electronic Data
Warehouse (EDW) Experience of Massachusetts
DOR, Kazim P. Ozyurt and Howard Merkowitz,
Massachusetts Dept of Revenue |
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| Wednesday, September 20
|
| 9:00 a.m. - 12:00 noon |
General Session (Mayfair
Ballroom) |
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|
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The Elderly Population
and Iowa Tax Revenues: As One Goes Up, Must
the Other Come Down?, Amy Harris, Iowa
Department of Revenue
[Paper] |
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Discussant: Comparison
with Minnesota, Paul Wilson, Minnesota Department
of Revenue |
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|
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Whatever Happened to Dynamic Revenue Analysis
in California? [paper], David Vasche, California
Legislative Analyst |
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Effective
Tax Rates Facing Low- and Moderate Income
Families: Modeling the Impact of Policy Changes
1998-2004 , Paul Wilson, Minnesota Dept
of Revenue |
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Update on Research Roundtable Activities, Michael
Kennedy, Chair & Oregon Office of Economic
Analysis |
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Invitation to North Carolina in 2007, Karl Knapp,
North Carolina Department of Revenue |